Lakers vs. Warriors odds, line, spread: 2021 NBA Opening Night picks, predictions from model on 100-66 roll


The Los Angeles Lakers and Golden State Warriors face off in the spotlight on Tuesday during the 2021 NBA Opening Night schedule. The matchup is the second game of a prime-time doubleheader to tip off the 2021-22 NBA season. Los Angeles aims to bounce back from an injury-plagued 2020-21 campaign behind LeBron James and Anthony Davis. Golden State looks to return to its former dominance with Stephen Curry as the team’s unquestioned centerpiece, especially with Klay Thompson (Achilles) not cleared to begin the season. 

Tip-off is set for 10 p.m. ET in Los Angeles. The latest Warriors vs. Lakers odds from Caesars Sportsbook lists Los Angeles as a 3.5-point favorite, while the over-under for total points is set at 226. Before making any Lakers vs. Warriors picks, be sure to see the 2021 NBA Opening Night predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model. 

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned almost $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three seasons. The model finished up almost $600 on its top-rated picks last season and enters the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 100-66 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Lakers and just released its coveted NBA picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Lakers vs. Warriors:

Warriors vs. Lakers spread: Lakers -3.5 Warriors vs. Lakers over-under: 226 points Warriors vs. Lakers money line: Lakers -160, Warriors +140GSW: The Warriors were 15-22 against the spread in 2020-21 road games LAA: The Lakers were 15-25 against the spread at home last season

Why the Warriors can cover

The Warriors flow through Curry, with the former NBA MVP continuing to operate at an elite level. Curry shot 42.1 percent on 12.7 3-point attempts per game last season, and he averaged 32.0 points, 5.8 assists and 5.5 rebounds per contest. The Warriors finished as a top-10 team in both 3-pointers (14.6 per game) and 3-point percentage (37.6 percent) last season, and Golden State led the NBA with 27.7 assists per game. 

Defensively, the Warriors are centered on Draymond Green, and the team is balanced and effective. Golden State ranked in the top seven of the NBA in both steals (8.2 per game) and assists allowed (23.8 per game), with fantastic metrics in opponent shooting efficiency. Opponents shot 45.2 percent from the field, 35.9 percent from 3-point range and 51.1 percent from inside the arc against the Warriors, with all three marks landing in the top eight of the NBA in 2020-21. Finally, the Warriors create turnovers at an above-average level, and the Lakers were a bottom-five team in ball security last season.

Why the Lakers can cover

Star power is evident with the Lakers, and Los Angeles also has the benefit of home-court advantage in the opener. James remains one of the best players in the world, generating 25.0 points, 7.8 assists and 7.7 rebounds per game in 2020-21. Davis is also a two-way impact player, particularly on the defensive end, and the Lakers have another attacking guard in Russell Westbrook. 

The nine-time NBA All-Star averaged a triple-double last season for the Washington Wizards, including a league-leading 11.7 assists per game in 2020-21. The Lakers led the league in defensive rating a season ago, giving up fewer than 1.08 points per possession, and Los Angeles can also dominate the defensive glass in this matchup. The Warriors were the worst offensive rebounding team in the NBA last season, grabbing only 17.9 percent of their own missed shots, and the Lakers have a significant advantage in size and bulk.

How to make Warriors vs. Lakers picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the point total, with only three players projected for more than 20 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Lakers vs. Warriors ATS pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Warriors vs. Lakers? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Warriors vs. Lakers spread you need to jump on Tuesday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out. 



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