Warriors vs. Pacers prediction, odds, line, spread: 2021 NBA picks, Dec. 13 best bets from model on 121-78 run

The Indiana Pacers face a stiff challenge on Monday evening as they seek a fourth consecutive victory. The Pacers host the Golden State Warriors in a cross-conference tilt, with Indiana entering at 12-16 this season. Golden State is 21-5 and 7-3 in road games to begin the 2021-22 season. Andre Iguodala (knee), James Wiseman (knee) and Klay Thompson (Achilles) are out for the Warriors. T.J. Warren (foot) and T.J. McConnell (wrist) are out for the Pacers, with Justin Holiday (reconditioning) listed as questionable.

Tipoff is at 7 p.m. ET in Indianapolis. Caesars Sportsbook lists Golden State as a 4.5-point road favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 213.5 in the latest Warriors vs. Pacers odds. Before making any Pacers vs. Warriors picks, be sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 8 of the 2021-22 NBA season up almost $2,000 on all top-rated NBA picks this season. It’s also on a stunning 121-78 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread that dates back to last season. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Pacers and just locked in its NBA picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Pacers vs. Warriors:

Warriors vs. Pacers spread: Warriors -4.5Warriors vs. Pacers over-under: 213.5 pointsWarriors vs. Pacers money line: Warriors -190, Pacers +160GSW: The Warriors are 2-1 against the spread with no days rest in 2021-22IND: The Pacers are 8-6-1 against the spread at home this season

Featured Game | Indiana Pacers vs. Golden State Warriors

Why the Warriors can cover

Golden State’s offense attracts the majority of attention, and the Warriors are leading the NBA in assists with top-five marks in offensive rating, 3-point shooting, field-goal percentage and many more categories. With that said, the Warriors are even better on defense, with the NBA’s best mark in overall efficiency. Golden State is allowing only 99.9 points per 100 possessions, and the Warriors also lead the NBA in field-goal percentage allowed (42.5 percent) and defensive rebound rate (75.6 percent). 

Opponents are shooting just 32.3 percent from 3-point range and 50.0 percent inside the arc against the Warriors, with Golden State ranking No. 2 in the NBA in assist prevention (21.6 assists allowed per game) and steals (9.7 per game). Indiana is No. 24 in the NBA in 3-point accuracy on offense, and the Pacers are also in the bottom 10 of the NBA in free-throw creation, making this an even better matchup for Golden State’s vaunted defense.

Why the Pacers can cover

Indiana is above-average on both ends of the floor, and the Pacers are playing very well on offense. The Pacers are scoring 123.7 points per 100 possessions during a three-game winning streak, and Indiana is scoring nearly 1.1 points per possession for the season. The Pacers are shooting 54.9 percent on 2-point shots, a top-five mark, and Indiana is in the top 10 of the NBA in offensive rebound rate, second-chance points, fast-break points and points in the paint in 2021-22. 

On defense, the Pacers are holding opponents to just 50.9 percent shooting on 2-point attempts, and Indiana is in the top three of the NBA in assist prevention, 3-pointers allowed and blocked shots. The Pacers are securing nearly 75 percent of available defensive rebounds, and the Warriors are currently third-worst in the league in protecting the ball in committing a turnover on 16 percent of offensive possessions.

How to make Pacers vs. Warriors picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, with the teams projected to combine for 215 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Warriors vs. Pacers? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.


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